According to the analysts from Citigroup Global Markets Inc., the New Zealand dollar may experience the lowest value against the Japanese yen in more than 10 month if it closes below the current triangle pattern support line.
NZD/JPY currency pair is supported at 79.97 level, where the ascending trendline of the triangle pattern is clearly visible on the weekly chart. The descending trendline of a triangle starts from the highest point of the week of July 22, 2008, while the ascending trendline starts from the lowest point of the week of August 12, 2008.
The weekly close below the support trendline at 79.97 will trigger strong downtrend on the NZD/JPY pair, which may last to the March low near 76.71 and if that level is broken to the lowest point of the triangle near 74.26.
The currency pair opened at 80.74 today and is traded near 80.73 as of 7:44 GMT. This weekly loss is also negligible as the week opened at 80.75. Last week NZD/JPY lost almost 1 percent.
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